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1.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 3(11): e0001358, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38015834

RESUMEN

Rotavirus is the most common pathogen causing pediatric diarrhea and an important cause of morbidity and mortality in low- and middle-income countries. Previous evidence suggests that the introduction of rotavirus vaccines in national immunization schedules resulted in dramatic declines in disease burden but may also be changing the rotavirus genetic landscape and driving the emergence of new genotypes. We report genotype data of more than 16,000 rotavirus isolates from 40 countries participating in the Global Rotavirus Surveillance Network. Data from a convenience sample of children under five years of age hospitalized with acute watery diarrhea who tested positive for rotavirus were included. Country results were weighted by their estimated rotavirus disease burden to estimate regional genotype distributions. Globally, the most frequent genotypes identified after weighting were G1P[8] (31%), G1P[6] (8%) and G3P[8] (8%). Genotypes varied across WHO Regions and between countries that had and had not introduced rotavirus vaccine. G1P[8] was less frequent among African (36 vs 20%) and European (33 vs 8%) countries that had introduced rotavirus vaccines as compared to countries that had not introduced. Our results describe differences in the distribution of the most common rotavirus genotypes in children with diarrhea in low- and middle-income countries. G1P[8] was less frequent in countries that had introduced the rotavirus vaccine while different strains are emerging or re-emerging in different regions.

2.
Clin Infect Dis ; 76(3): e1047-e1053, 2023 02 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35797157

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Diarrhea is the second leading cause of death in children younger than 5 years of age globally. The burden of diarrheal mortality is concentrated in low-resource settings. Little is known about the risk factors for childhood death from diarrheal disease in low- and middle-income countries. METHODS: Data from the World Health Organization (WHO)-coordinated Global Rotavirus and Pediatric Diarrhea Surveillance Networks, which are composed of active, sentinel, hospital-based surveillance sites, were analyzed to assess mortality in children <5 years of age who were hospitalized with diarrhea between 2008 and 2018. Case fatality risks were calculated, and multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors for mortality. RESULTS: This analysis comprises 234 781 cases, including 1219 deaths, across 57 countries. The overall case fatality risk was found to be 0.5%. Risk factors for death in the multivariable analysis included younger age (for <6 months compared with older ages, odds ratio [OR] = 3.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.81-4.50), female sex (OR = 1.18; 95% CI, 1.06-1.81), presenting with persistent diarrhea (OR = 1.91; 95% CI, 1.01-3.25), no vomiting (OR = 1.13; 95% CI, .98-1.30), severe dehydration (OR = 3.79; 95% CI, 3.01-4.83), and being negative for rotavirus on an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay test (OR = 2.29; 95% CI, 1.92-2.74). Cases from the African Region had the highest odds of death compared with other WHO regions (OR = 130.62 comparing the African Region with the European Region; 95% CI, 55.72-422.73), whereas cases from the European Region had the lowest odds of death. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support known risk factors for childhood diarrheal mortality and highlight the need for interventions to address dehydration and rotavirus-negative diarrheal infections.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Rotavirus , Rotavirus , Niño , Humanos , Femenino , Lactante , Preescolar , Deshidratación , Países en Desarrollo , Diarrea/epidemiología , Infecciones por Rotavirus/epidemiología , Organización Mundial de la Salud , Factores de Riesgo
3.
J Infect Dis ; 224(12 Suppl 2): S161-S173, 2021 09 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34469555

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) coordinates the Global Invasive Bacterial Vaccine-Preventable Diseases (IB-VPD) Surveillance Network to support vaccine introduction decisions and use. The network was established to strengthen surveillance and laboratory confirmation of meningitis caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, and Neisseria meningitidis. METHODS: Sentinel hospitals report cases of children <5 years of age hospitalized for suspected meningitis. Laboratories report confirmatory testing results and strain characterization tested by polymerase chain reaction. In 2019, the network included 123 laboratories that follow validated, standardized testing and reporting strategies. RESULTS: From 2014 through 2019, >137 000 suspected meningitis cases were reported by 58 participating countries, with 44.6% (n = 61 386) reported from countries in the WHO African Region. More than half (56.6%, n = 77 873) were among children <1 year of age, and 4.0% (n = 4010) died among those with reported disease outcome. Among suspected meningitis cases, 8.6% (n = 11 798) were classified as probable bacterial meningitis. One of 3 bacterial pathogens was identified in 30.3% (n = 3576) of these cases, namely S. pneumoniae (n = 2177 [60.9%]), H. influenzae (n = 633 [17.7%]), and N. meningitidis (n = 766 [21.4%]). Among confirmed bacterial meningitis cases with outcome reported, 11.0% died; case fatality ratio varied by pathogen (S. pneumoniae, 12.2%; H. influenzae, 6.1%; N. meningitidis, 11.0%). Among the 277 children who died with confirmed bacterial meningitis, 189 (68.2%) had confirmed S. pneumoniae. The proportion of pneumococcal cases with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) serotypes decreased as the number of countries implementing PCV increased, from 77.8% (n = 273) to 47.5% (n = 248). Of 397 H. influenzae specimens serotyped, 49.1% (n = 195) were type b. Predominant N. meningitidis serogroups varied by region. CONCLUSIONS: This multitier, global surveillance network has supported countries in detecting and serotyping the 3 principal invasive bacterial pathogens that cause pediatric meningitis. Streptococcus pneumoniae was the most common bacterial pathogen detected globally despite the growing number of countries that have nationally introduced PCV. The large proportions of deaths due to S. pneumoniae reflect the high proportion of meningitis cases caused by this pathogen. This global network demonstrated a strong correlation between PCV introduction status and reduction in the proportion of pneumococcal meningitis infections caused by vaccine serotypes. Maintaining case-based, active surveillance with laboratory confirmation for prioritized vaccine-preventable diseases remains a critical component of the global agenda in public health.The World Health Organization (WHO)-coordinated Invasive Bacterial Vaccine-Preventable Disease (IB-VPD) Surveillance Network reported data from 2014 to 2019, contributing to the estimates of the disease burden and serotypes of pediatric meningitis caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae and Neisseria meningitidis.


Asunto(s)
Salud Global/estadística & datos numéricos , Meningitis Bacterianas/prevención & control , Meningitis Neumocócica/prevención & control , Vigilancia de Guardia , Enfermedades Prevenibles por Vacunación/epidemiología , Vacunas Conjugadas/administración & dosificación , Niño , Preescolar , Haemophilus influenzae , Humanos , Lactante , Meningitis Bacterianas/epidemiología , Meningitis Neumocócica/epidemiología , Neisseria meningitidis , Vacunas Neumococicas/administración & dosificación , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Prevenibles por Vacunación/microbiología , Organización Mundial de la Salud
4.
Vaccine ; 39(15): 2146-2152, 2021 04 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33712350

RESUMEN

Countries face an increasingly complex vaccination landscape. As well as ever-changing infectious disease epidemiology, the number and diversity of vaccine-preventable diseases, vaccine products, and vaccine technologies continue to increase. To ensure that vaccination decision-making is transparent, country-owned and informed by sound scientific evidence, many countries have established national immunization technical advisory groups (NITAGs) to provide independent expert advice. The past decade has seen substantial growth in NITAG numbers and functionality, and there is now a need to consolidate this progress, by further capacity building, to ensure that NITAGs are responsive to the changing face of immunization over the next decade.


Asunto(s)
Programas de Inmunización , Vacunas , Comités Consultivos , Política de Salud , Vacunación
5.
Lancet Glob Health ; 7(7): e893-e903, 2019 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31200889

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus vaccine use in national immunisation programmes has led to declines in hospital admissions for rotavirus gastroenteritis among children; however, the global impact of rotavirus vaccine introduction has not been described using primary data. We describe the impact of rotavirus vaccine introduction on admissions for acute rotavirus gastroenteritis in primarily low-income and middle-income countries, using 9 years of data from the WHO-coordinated Global Rotavirus Surveillance Network (GRSN). METHODS: Between Jan 1, 2008, and Dec 31, 2016, children younger than 5 years of age who were admitted to hospital with acute gastroenteritis were prospectively enrolled in GRSN sites. We included sites that enrolled children and collected stool specimens monthly and tested at least 100 specimens annually in the impact analysis, with a separate analysis taking into account site continuity. We compared proportions of acute gastroenteritis cases positive for rotavirus in the pre-vaccine and post-vaccine periods and calculated mean proportion changes for WHO regions, with 95% CIs; these findings were then compared with interrupted time series analyses. We did further sensitivity analyses to account for rotavirus vaccination coverage levels and sites that collected specimens for at least 11 months per year and tested at least 80 specimens per year. We also analysed the age distribution of rotavirus-positive cases before and after vaccine introduction. FINDINGS: 403 140 children younger than 5 years of age admitted to hospital with acute gastroenteritis from 349 sites in 82 countries were enrolled over the study period, of whom 132 736 (32·9%) were positive for rotavirus. We included 305 789 children from 198 sites in 69 countries in the impact analysis. In countries that had not introduced rotavirus vaccine in their national immunisation programmes, rotavirus was detected in 38·0% (95% CI 4·8-73·4) of admissions for acute gastroenteritis annually whereas in those that have introduced the vaccine, rotavirus was detected in 23·0% (0·7-57·7) of admissions for acute gastroenteritis, showing a 39·6% (35·4-43·8) relative decline following introduction. Interrupted time series analyses confirmed these findings. Reductions by WHO regions ranged from 26·4% (15·0-37·8) in the Eastern Mediterranean Region to 55·2% (43·0-67·4) in the European Region and were sustained in nine countries (contributing up to 31 sites) for 6-10 years. The age distribution of children with rotavirus gastroenteritis shifted towards older children after rotavirus vaccine introduction. INTERPRETATION: A significant and sustained reduction in the proportion of hospital admissions for acute gastroenteritis due to rotavirus was seen among children younger than 5 years in GRSN sites following rotavirus vaccine introduction. These findings highlight the need to incorporate rotavirus vaccines into immunisation programmes in countries that have not yet introduced them and underline the importance of high-quality surveillance. FUNDING: The GRSN receives funding from Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. No specific funding was provided for this Article.


Asunto(s)
Hospitalización/tendencias , Internacionalidad , Vigilancia de la Población , Infecciones por Rotavirus/prevención & control , Vacunas contra Rotavirus , Preescolar , Bases de Datos Factuales , Humanos , Rotavirus
6.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 99(3): 764-771, 2018 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30014817

RESUMEN

Bangladesh introduced hepatitis B vaccine in a phased manner during 2003-2005 into the routine childhood vaccination schedule. This study was designed to evaluate the impact of the introduction of hepatitis B vaccine in Bangladesh by comparing hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) prevalence among children born before and after vaccine introduction and to estimate the risk of vertical transmission of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection from mother to infant. We also evaluated the field sensitivity and specificity of an HBsAg point-of-care test strip. We selected a nationally representative sample of 2,100 prevaccine era and 2,100 vaccine era children. We collected a 5-mL blood sample from each child. One drop of blood was used to perform rapid HBsAg testing. If a child had a positive HBsAg test result with the rapid test, a blood sample was collected from the mother of the HBsAg-positive child and from the mothers of two subsequently enrolled HBsAg-negative children. All samples were tested for serologic markers of HBV infection using standard enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. One (0.05%) child in the vaccine era group and 27 (1.2%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.8-1.7%) children in the prevaccine era group were HBsAg positive. Mothers of HBsAg-positive children were more likely to be HBsAg positive than mothers of HBsAg-negative children (odds ratios = 4.7; 95% CI: 1.0-21.7%). Sensitivity of the HBsAg rapid test was 91.2% (95% CI: 76.6-98.1%) and specificity was 100% (95% CI: 99.9-100%). The study results suggest that even without a birth dose, the hepatitis B vaccine program in Bangladesh was highly effective in preventing chronic HBV infection among children.


Asunto(s)
Antígenos de Superficie de la Hepatitis B/sangre , Vacunas contra Hepatitis B/inmunología , Hepatitis B/prevención & control , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Adulto , Bangladesh/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Hepatitis B/epidemiología , Vacunas contra Hepatitis B/administración & dosificación , Humanos , Transmisión Vertical de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Masculino , Madres , Sistemas de Atención de Punto , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Pruebas Serológicas
7.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 66(28): 753-757, 2017 Jul 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28727678

RESUMEN

In 2013, at the 66th session of the Regional Committee of the World Health Organization (WHO) South-East Asia Region (SEAR), a regional goal was established to eliminate measles and control rubella and congenital rubella syndrome* by 2020 (1). WHO-recommended measles elimination strategies in SEAR countries include 1) achieving and maintaining ≥95% coverage with 2 doses of measles-containing vaccine (MCV) in every district, delivered through the routine immunization program or through supplementary immunization activities (SIAs)†; 2) developing and sustaining a sensitive and timely measles case-based surveillance system that meets targets for recommended performance indicators; and 3) developing and maintaining an accredited measles laboratory network (2). In 2014, Bangladesh, one of 11 countries in SEAR, adopted a national goal for measles elimination by 2018 (2,3). This report describes progress and challenges toward measles elimination in Bangladesh during 2000-2016. Estimated coverage with the first MCV dose (MCV1) increased from 74% in 2000 to 94% in 2016. The second MCV dose (MCV2) was introduced in 2012, and MCV2 coverage increased from 35% in 2013 to 93% in 2016. During 2000-2016, approximately 108.9 million children received MCV during three nationwide SIAs conducted in phases. During 2000-2016, reported confirmed measles incidence decreased 82%, from 34.2 to 6.1 per million population. However, in 2016, 56% of districts did not meet the surveillance performance target of ≥2 discarded nonmeasles, nonrubella cases§ per 100,000 population. Additional measures that include increasing MCV1 and MCV2 coverage to ≥95% in all districts with additional strategies for hard-to-reach populations, increasing sensitivity of measles case-based surveillance, and ensuring timely transport of specimens to the national laboratory will help achieve measles elimination.


Asunto(s)
Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/prevención & control , Vigilancia de la Población , Adolescente , Bangladesh/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización , Incidencia , Lactante , Vacuna Antisarampión/administración & dosificación , Virus del Sarampión/genética , Virus del Sarampión/aislamiento & purificación , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
8.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 66(22): 579-583, 2017 Jun 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28594790

RESUMEN

Japanese encephalitis (JE) virus is the most important vaccine-preventable cause of encephalitis in the Asia-Pacific region. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends integration of JE vaccination into national immunization schedules in all areas where the disease is a public health priority (1). This report updates a previous summary of JE surveillance and immunization programs in Asia and the Western Pacific in 2012 (2). Since 2012, funding for JE immunization has become available through the GAVI Alliance, three JE vaccines have been WHO-prequalified,* and an updated WHO JE vaccine position paper providing guidance on JE vaccines and vaccination strategies has been published (1). Data for this report were obtained from a survey of JE surveillance and immunization practices administered to health officials in countries with JE virus transmission risk, the 2015 WHO/United Nations Children's Fund Joint Reporting Form on Immunization, notes and reports from JE meetings held during 2014-2016, published literature, and websites. In 2016, 22 (92%) of 24 countries with JE virus transmission risk conducted JE surveillance, an increase from 18 (75%) countries in 2012, and 12 (50%) countries had a JE immunization program, compared with 11 (46%) countries in 2012. Strengthened JE surveillance, continued commitment, and adequate resources for JE vaccination should help maintain progress toward prevention and control of JE.


Asunto(s)
Encefalitis Japonesa/epidemiología , Encefalitis Japonesa/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la Encefalitis Japonesa/administración & dosificación , Vigilancia de la Población , Adolescente , Asia/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización , Esquemas de Inmunización , Lactante , Islas del Pacífico/epidemiología
9.
J Infect Dis ; 210 Suppl 1: S373-9, 2014 Nov 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25316858

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Persons with primary immune deficiency disorders (PIDD) who receive oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) may transmit immunodeficiency-associated vaccine-derived polioviruses (iVDPVs) and cause paralytic polio. The objective of this study was to identify children with PIDD in Bangladesh, and estimate the proportion with chronic poliovirus excretion. METHODS: Patients admitted at 5 teaching hospitals were screened for PIDD according to standardized clinical case definitions. PIDD was confirmed by age-specific quantitative immunoglobulin levels. Stool specimens were collected from patients with confirmed PIDD. RESULTS: From February 2011 through January 2013, approximately 96 000 children were screened, and 53 patients were identified who met the clinical case definition for PIDD. Thirteen patients (24%) had age-specific quantitative immunoglobulins results that confirmed PIDD. Of these, 9 (69%) received OPV 3-106 months before stool specimen collection. Among 11 patients, stool specimens from 1 patient tested positive for polioviruses 34 months after OPV ingestion. However, the poliovirus isolate was not available for genetic sequencing, and a subsequent stool specimen 45 days later was negative. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of chronic poliovirus excretion among children with PIDD in Bangladesh seems to be low. The national polio eradication program should incorporate strategies for screening for poliovirus excretion among patients with PIDD.


Asunto(s)
Erradicación de la Enfermedad/métodos , Síndromes de Inmunodeficiencia/complicaciones , Tamizaje Masivo , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/administración & dosificación , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/efectos adversos , Poliovirus/aislamiento & purificación , Esparcimiento de Virus , Adolescente , Bangladesh/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Erradicación de la Enfermedad/organización & administración , Heces/virología , Femenino , Hospitales de Enseñanza , Humanos , Inmunoglobulinas/sangre , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Prevalencia
10.
J Infect Dis ; 204 Suppl 1: S396-402, 2011 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21666190

RESUMEN

In 2005, the World Health Assembly endorsed a global goal of 90% reduction in measles mortality from 2000 to 2010. Substantial progress has been made toward achieving this goal in countries of the South-East Asia Region (SEAR). More than 120 million children received a second dose of measles-containing vaccine during supplemental immunization activities conducted from 2000 to 2008; routine first-dose measles-containing vaccine coverage increased from 63% in 2000 to 75% by 2008; and measles surveillance is supported in all countries by the Measles-Rubella Laboratory Network. Overall, the estimated number of measles deaths decreased by 46% from 2000 to 2008, and all countries with the exception of India have already achieved the 90% mortality reduction target. Sustained political and financial commitment from SEAR countries is needed to achieve regional measles mortality reduction and elimination.


Asunto(s)
Vacuna Antisarampión/administración & dosificación , Sarampión/mortalidad , Sarampión/prevención & control , Asia Sudoriental/epidemiología , Preescolar , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización , Incidencia , Lactante , Sarampión/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población , Factores de Tiempo , Vacunación
11.
J Infect Dis ; 204 Suppl 1: S433-8, 2011 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21666196

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The Government of Nepal is interested in preventing congenital rubella syndrome (CRS). Surveillance data were analyzed and studies conducted to assess the burden of rubella and CRS and aid in developing a rubella vaccination strategy. METHODS: (1) Analysis of rubella cases reported through measles surveillance, 2004-2009; (2) in 2008, rubella seroprevalence among women 15 to 39 years of age was evaluated; and (3) in 2009, children attending a school for the deaf were examined for ocular defects associated with CRS. RESULTS: From 2004-2009, there were 3,710 confirmed rubella cases and more than 95% of these cases were less than 15 years of age. Of 2,224 women of childbearing age (WCBA) tested for anti-rubella IgG, 2,020 (90.8%) were seropositive. Using a catalytic infection model, approximately 1,426 infants were born with CRS (192/100,000 live births) in 2008. Among 243 students attending a school for the deaf, 18 (7.4%) met the clinical criteria for CRS. CONCLUSIONS: Rubella and CRS were documented as significant public health problems in Nepal. A comprehensive approach is necessary, including introducing rubella vaccine in the routine program, assuring immunity among WCBA, strengthening routine immunization, integrating rubella surveillance with measles case-based surveillance, and establishing CRS surveillance.


Asunto(s)
Política de Salud , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/prevención & control , Vacuna contra la Rubéola/administración & dosificación , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/epidemiología , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/prevención & control , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Masculino , Nepal/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población , Embarazo , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/epidemiología , Síndrome de Rubéola Congénita/epidemiología , Síndrome de Rubéola Congénita/prevención & control , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Adulto Joven
12.
Bull World Health Organ ; 87(6): 456-65, 2009 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19565124

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the case-fatality ratio (CFR) for measles in Nepal, determine the role of risk factors, such as political instability, for measles mortality, and compare the use of a nationally representative sample of outbreaks versus routine surveillance or a localized study to establish the national CFR (nCFR). METHODS: This was a retrospective study of measles cases and deaths in Nepal. Through two-stage random sampling, we selected 37 districts with selection probability proportional to the number of districts in each region, and then randomly selected within each district one outbreak among all those that had occurred between 1 March and 1 September 2004. Cases were identified by interviewing a member of each and every household and tracing contacts. Bivariate analyses were performed to assess the risk factors for a high CFR and determine the time from rash onset until death. Each factor's contribution to the CFR was determined through multivariate logistic regression. From the number of measles cases and deaths found in the study we calculated the total number of measles cases and deaths for all of Nepal during the study period and in 2004. FINDINGS: We identified 4657 measles cases and 64 deaths in the study period and area. This yielded a total of about 82 000 cases and 900 deaths for all outbreaks in 2004 and a national CFR of 1.1% (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.5-2.3). CFR ranged from 0.1% in the eastern region to 3.4% in the mid-western region and was highest in politically insecure areas, in the Ganges plains and among cases < 5 years of age. Vitamin A treatment and measles immunization were protective. Most deaths occurred during the first week of illness. CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this is the first CFR study based on a nationally representative sample of measles outbreaks. Routine surveillance and studies of a single outbreak may not yield an accurate nCFR. Increased fatalities associated with political insecurity are a challenge for health-care service delivery. The short period from disease onset to death and reduced mortality from treatment with vitamin A suggest the need for rapid, field-based treatment early in the outbreak.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Sarampión/mortalidad , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Sarampión/prevención & control , Nepal/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tasa de Supervivencia
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